Thursday, June 30, 2011

FOREX: Euro Rises to Three-Week High Versus Dollar on Greek Debt, ECB Rate Views

The euro climbed to the highest in almost three weeks against the dollar on prospects the European Central Bank will increase interest rates next week to curb inflation as the risk of an immediate Greek default subsides.
The 17-nation currency strengthened to a 15-month high against the pound amid bets the Bank of England will be restrained in increasing interest rates compared with the ECB. Higher-yielding currencies advanced against the Swiss franc after German financial firms agreed on a draft proposal to roll over Greek debt holdings, according to people familiar with the plan. The Dollar Index weakened for a fourth day, the longest streak since April.
“There’s an element of optimism after yesterday’s vote and amid headlines surrounding Germany even though specifics are lacking,” said Vassili Serebriakov, a currency strategist at Wells Fargo & Co. in New York.
The euro rose 0.3 percent to $1.4480 at 9:02 a.m. in New York. It earlier strengthened to $1.4521, the highest level since June 10. The euro slipped 0.3 percent versus the Japanese currency to 116.28 yen after advancing as much as 0.4 percent. The dollar fell 0.6 percent to 80.28 yen from 80.78. The euro has gained 0.6 percent against the dollar this month and is up 2.3 percent in the quarter that ends today.
Greece’s Vote
Luxembourg’s Jean-Claude Juncker, who leads a group of euro-area finance ministers, said the Greek parliament’s decision yesterday paves the way for payment of the next aid installment from the region’s governments and the International Monetary FundThe Swiss franc, a traditional haven from financial turmoil, fell against 14 of 16 major peers. It depreciated 0.3 percent against the euro to 1.2082 and was little changed against the dollar 83.40 centimes per dollar, from 83.42. German firms will commit to providing financing for a Greek aid package and an announcement is planned this afternoon, said people who declined to be identified because the talks are private. The draft could still be changed during a meeting today with Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble and top industry executives, the people said. Even amid the debt crisis, the euro has proved the third best performer this year, supported by the ECB’s first rate rise in three years in April. It trailed only the Swiss franc and the Norwegian krone among 17 currencies.