The euro was hovering close to a five-month low against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday, pressured by growing concerns that the euro zone’s debt crisis was spreading to Italy as government bond yields rose sharply. EUR/USD hit 1.3838 during European early afternoon trade, the pair’s lowest since March 11; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.3924, shedding 0.75%. The pair was likely to find support at 1.3751, the low of March 11 and resistance at 1.4061, the days high. Earlier in the day, the cost of insuring Spanish, Portuguese and Greek sovereign debt against default surged to euro-lifetime highs, while 10-year Italian bond yields rose to more than 6% for the first time since the inception of the single currency. Also Tuesday, Dutch Finance Minister Jan Kees de Jager said the possibility of a partial default by Greece in order to put the country’s debt on a more sustainable footing could no longer be ruled out, despite the European Central Bank’s opposition to such a move. The single currency also came under pressure after International Monetary Fund head Christine Lagarde said the institution was not ready to discuss a second bailout package for Greece. Elsewhere, the euro was trading close to a record low against the Swiss franc, with EUR/CHF tumbling 1.14% to hit 1.1583. Later in the day, finance ministers from all 27 European Union nations were to meet to discuss measures to contain the debt crisis. Options included increasing the size and flexibility of the euro zone’s bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility and lengthening the maturities of loans and lowering interest rates for bailed out countries.
ithinkforex is a blog all about the foreign exchange financial market. It will include: tutorials, basics of the forex market, daily and weekly forex analysis, technical analysis, forex software posts, and whatever is related to forex. ithinkforex aims to deal with forex trading, but with a more personal touch.
Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Friday, July 8, 2011
EUR/USD Open 1.4362 High 1.4374 Low 1.4219 Close 1.4356
On Thursday the Euro/Dollar continued decreasing, even after ECB conference, later jumped with 155 pips. The European currency appreciated from 1.4219 to 1.4374 yesterday, matching the positive Interbank sentiment projection at nearly +3%, closing the day at 1.4356. This morning the European is trading quietly and within yesterday's range for now. On the 1 hour chart new range trading has emerged, while on the 3 hour chart trading remains within wide range. Break above the nearest resistance and yesterday's top at 1.4374 may trigger further strengthening of the Euro. Going bellow yesterday's bottom and first support at 1.4219, however, would confirm continuation of the bearish trend, towards next important objective downwards 1.4111. Today's focus is on Germany Current account and Trade balance, and Italy Industrial production, at 6 and 8 GMT respectively. Quotes are moving about in line with the crossing 20 and 50 EMA on the 1 hour chart, indicating neutral market. The value of the RSI indicator is negative and declining, MACD is neutral and quiet, while CCI is in line with the 100 line on the 1 hour chart, giving overall light short signals.
Technical resistance levels: 1.4374 1.4482 1.4600
Technical support levels: 1.4219 1.4111 1.4000
Technical resistance levels: 1.4374 1.4482 1.4600
Technical support levels: 1.4219 1.4111 1.4000
Wednesday, July 6, 2011
Forex: EUR/USD moving towards 1.4300
Pronounced downward pressure on the EUR/USD continues ahead of the US session, with the pair extending to a week-long low of 1.4316 as it appears to target the technical support level of 1.4300. Overall the pair is off around 100 pips from the day´s opening price, and around 150 from a daily high of 1.4465. Giving a more technical perspective, 4 hours chart shows the bearish momentum increasing with current candle opening below 200 EMA, and both indicators heading south; smaller time frames show extreme oversold conditions suggesting some consolidation before further slides: expect the pair to remain trading below 1.4390 price zone, while a downside acceleration and a break below 1.4315, should trigger a continuation rally towards 1.4250 strong support zone, probable bottom for today.
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